“America’s fears of Trump being President.”
As time progress in this 2016 Presidential, we begin to realize that the inevitable could happen. Donald J. Trump could potentially be our next President of the United States. There have been protest all over the country, some peaceful and others have grown to be a lot more aggressive. There was even a rally where Trump was supposed to speak that became so problematic that it needed to be cancelled. But I ask the question. Could he do what everyone is afraid of him doing?
Let’s first look at the immigration issue in the United States. Trump has stated that 11 million people are here illegally from Mexico. His promise is to remove the 11 million people from the country in his presidency. This on top of his rape comments against Mexicans caused a lot of backlash. Now let’s observe the idea of him removing that many people from the country. Because there is a monetary cost of this mass exodus.
Now, of 11 million people let’s make some assumptions to align ourselves with Trump’s theory. Let’s assume 90%, 80%, 70%, 50% are productive and the others are not. Then let’s also assume that each person below the poverty level ($11,490) so that means their value in poverty is $63.195 billion to $113.751 billion. Now, like I said, I am assuming that these individuals are all under the poverty level with only one person in the household. With two people in the household the cost range from $85.305 billion to $153.549 billion; with three in household the range is $107.415 billion to $193.347 billion; and four people or more in the household $129.525 billion to $233.145 billion. These are some big numbers.
When you’re dealing with hundreds of thousands fine, but a massive amount of money in the hundreds of billions can put a strain on an economy. But another strain would be the political relationship from across the border. Why because the drug cartels are coming across the border where narcotics are brought over the border. If America exiles the 11 million people, then Mexico won’t have a real incentive to continue to watch the drug cartels. And fugitives will see this as a viable option when escaping prison.
Another issue America runs into is the agricultural problems. America gets a lot of fruits, vegetable, and livestock from Latin American countries. We lose sight of the reason we can buy so much at the grocery store for such low prices. There is a considerable amount of vegetation from south of our borders. This could cause some business issues between the two countries after. Which brings me to my next comments that Trump made.His comments about the Islamic community caused another host of issues.
Now, let’s observe them as well. We as Americans receive a lot of our petroleum from the Middle East. What would happen if America started to distance itself from the Muslim world. We are forced to look live with high gas prices. An no American is mentally prepared nor financially prepared for a separation. So as you can see, Trump not only will not, but wouldn’t be able to make any if not all the suggestions he made on the campaign trail. So, in the end, there won’t be a wall, an exodus, nor a removal from the Middle East. Until then election is over, we have to watch really closely until the selection of the nation’s new leader.